Pre-tourney Rankings
Murray St.
Ohio Valley
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.3#75
Expected Predictive Rating+8.0#66
Pace66.5#240
Improvement-0.2#191

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#75
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-3.2#310

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#75
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+2.9#57
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round97.9% n/a n/a
Second Round22.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2017 63   Middle Tennessee L 67-72 58%     0 - 1 +0.4 +2.7 +2.7
  Nov 18, 2017 137   @ Wright St. W 80-61 60%     1 - 1 +23.6 +2.3 +2.3
  Nov 25, 2017 142   Southern Illinois W 81-73 81%     2 - 1 +6.3 -0.9 -0.9
  Dec 02, 2017 342   Florida A&M W 80-59 98%     3 - 1 +3.1 -9.0 -9.0
  Dec 09, 2017 139   @ Illinois St. W 78-72 61%     4 - 1 +10.5 +2.3 +2.3
  Dec 12, 2017 134   @ Saint Louis L 55-69 60%     4 - 2 -9.2 +2.4 +2.4
  Dec 16, 2017 317   Marist W 100-63 96%     5 - 2 +24.4 -6.3 -6.3
  Dec 19, 2017 15   Auburn L 77-81 34%     5 - 3 +7.7 +5.8 +5.8
  Dec 22, 2017 322   @ Detroit Mercy W 81-72 91%     6 - 3 +1.8 -3.6 -3.6
  Dec 28, 2017 254   Eastern Illinois W 80-52 93%     7 - 3 1 - 0 +19.2 -4.4 -4.4
  Dec 30, 2017 316   SIU Edwardsville W 87-63 96%     8 - 3 2 - 0 +11.4 -6.3 -6.3
  Jan 04, 2018 260   Southeast Missouri St. W 89-73 93%     9 - 3 3 - 0 +7.0 -4.5 -4.5
  Jan 06, 2018 299   Tennessee Martin W 82-68 95%     10 - 3 4 - 0 +2.8 -5.6 -5.6
  Jan 11, 2018 156   @ Jacksonville St. L 71-76 64%     10 - 4 4 - 1 -1.2 +1.9 +1.9
  Jan 13, 2018 224   @ Tennessee Tech W 71-45 78%     11 - 4 5 - 1 +25.4 -0.3 -0.3
  Jan 18, 2018 91   @ Belmont L 72-79 45%     11 - 5 5 - 2 +1.7 +4.4 +4.4
  Jan 20, 2018 209   @ Tennessee St. W 76-57 75%     12 - 5 6 - 2 +19.1 +0.1 +0.1
  Jan 25, 2018 281   Morehead St. W 87-81 94%     13 - 5 7 - 2 -4.2 -5.1 -5.1
  Jan 27, 2018 288   Eastern Kentucky W 88-73 94%     14 - 5 8 - 2 +4.5 -5.3 -5.3
  Feb 01, 2018 260   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 87-75 83%     15 - 5 9 - 2 +9.0 -1.5 -1.5
  Feb 03, 2018 299   @ Tennessee Martin W 66-53 88%     16 - 5 10 - 2 +7.8 -2.6 -2.6
  Feb 08, 2018 200   Austin Peay W 84-63 88%     17 - 5 11 - 2 +15.6 -2.7 -2.7
  Feb 10, 2018 316   @ SIU Edwardsville W 75-66 90%     18 - 5 12 - 2 +2.5 -3.3 -3.3
  Feb 15, 2018 156   Jacksonville St. W 68-60 82%     19 - 5 13 - 2 +5.7 -1.1 -1.1
  Feb 17, 2018 224   Tennessee Tech W 75-65 90%     20 - 5 14 - 2 +3.3 -3.3 -3.3
  Feb 22, 2018 254   @ Eastern Illinois W 76-66 83%     21 - 5 15 - 2 +7.2 -1.4 -1.4
  Feb 24, 2018 200   @ Austin Peay W 73-64 74%     22 - 5 16 - 2 +9.7 +0.3 +0.3
  Mar 02, 2018 156   Jacksonville St. W 70-63 74%     23 - 5 +7.7 +0.4 +0.4
  Mar 03, 2018 91   Belmont W 68-51 56%     24 - 5 +22.7 +2.9 +2.9
Projected Record 24.0 - 5.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 97.9% 97.9% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 4.3 45.1 47.5 1.1 2.1 1.0%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.9% 97.9% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 4.3 45.1 47.5 1.1 2.1 1.0%